Monday, October 3, 2011

Pasadena Short Sale: No Housing Recovery Until 2020 | Pasadena Area Short Sale Blog

Pasadena Short Sale: No Housing Recovery Until 2020 | Pasadena Area Short Sale Blog

Scary Housing Predictions

In case we weren’t depressed enough about the state of the economy and the state of our own personal finances, media outlets have to go and survey the powers-that-be for their opinions. Scary doesn’t really begin to describe it.

According to this CNBC story, home prices are unlikely to recover before 2020 and mortgage defaults will persist for years, says a recent survey of bank risk managers. That’s just wonderful news. The survey conducted by the Professional Risk Managers’ International Association for FICO, found that 49% of respondents do not expect housing prices to rise back to 2007 levels for another nine years. Only 21 percent of respondents said they would.

The findings, which authors called “a decidedly pessimistic outlook”, are a sharp reversal from cautious optimism the survey respondents expressed late last year and in early 2011. In addition, 73 percent of surveyed bankers say they expect mortgage defaults to remain elevated for at least another five years. And 46 percent believe mortgage delinquencies will increase over the next six months.

Only 15 percent of respondents expect mortgage delinquencies to decline during that period.

Why Are Bankers So Pessimistic?

These are opinions only, of course, but they do come from the very bankers who are studying the housing market and its continued declines in many markets. At this point, statistics tell us that 1 in 80 homes nationwide is in some stage of foreclosure. This was a 33% jump in just one month to a 9-month high. In Florida the figure is 1 in 44, in Illinois 1 in 43, 1 in 37 in Arizona. Nevada leads the nation with 1 in 20 homes in foreclosure while our own California has 1 in 48.

What Do These Figures Mean?

We all know that foreclosed homes are sold more cheaply as banks, not being in the real estate business, do everything in their power to sell them fast. Every home that goes into foreclosure pulls its local market down by a small increment. When many are sold as REOs [real estate owned], the local market as a whole is lowered. As prices dip, nearby homeowners are losing their equity; those on the edge are then driven underwater. Once a homeowner is underwater, the impetus to pay the mortgage lessens as it hardly seems worth it.

At this point, the economy as a whole is performing badly. Millions are out of work and can’t pay their bills, including their mortgages. Those that are able put more and more on credit cards until the issuers pull the plug. Millions of people are using retirement money to get through this tough spot. The trouble is the tough spot is lasting for years and their grown children cannot find work either.

lender unemployment cartoon

Enter the banks. The banks, as we all know are wallowing in cheap cash from the Fed, but are reluctant to lend. On their books, left over from their giant party during the “bubble” years are trillions of dollars of bad mortgages which by now everyone is realizing will never be made good. Instead of settling for less by restructuring these bad loans or offering temporary loan mods, the banks are instead simply dumping these properties onto an already-saturated market.

We know what will happen next. As Bank of America, for instance, with huge inventories of bad loans from its acquisition of Countrywide, especially here in SoCal where the company was located, is slammed with plummeting stock prices, the urge to get the non-performing loans off the books is overwhelming. And, so more foreclosures hit the market, spiraling prices down and creating more underwater mortgages, more future foreclosures.

Is it any wonder the bankers are pessimistic about the chances for a housing recovery? Housing cannot recover until the wider economy pulls itself out of the ditch and gets back on track. When will that happen? In the meantime, should you be considering a short sale, call me.

Thinking about a short sale? I can help you short sale your property and never pay the bank another penny. Send me an e-mail at drdbroker@gmail.com. I will contact you for a free consultation. If you prefer to stay in your home, perhaps a loan mod, a refi or mortgage litigation is the best route for you. During our consultation, I will be happy to help you come to the right decision for you.

When we talk, I will explain how the short sale process works in detail and answer any questions you may have about either short sale or mortgage litigation. Or, if you prefer, you can call me at (626)641-0346.

Diane Butler specializes in helping Pasadena Homeowners short sale and never pay the bank another penny. Pasadena Loan Modification Help, Pasadena Short Sales, Pasadena Short Sale Realtor, Pasadena Realtors, Pasadena Realty, Pasadena Realtor. Altadena Short Sales, Altadena Short Sale Realtor. Azusa Short Sales, Azusa Short Sale Realtor.

Sunday, October 2, 2011

Kamala Harris Comes Through: CA Out Of Big Banks Deal! « Diane’s Blog

Kamala Harris Comes Through: CA Out Of Big Banks Deal! « Diane’s Blog

Kamala Harris Comes Through: CA Out Of Big Banks Deal!

kamala harris, attorney general of california

Kamala Harris Is My Hero, Too

This is terrific news: Kamala Harris, California’s Attorney General, has heard the people of this state, suffering under the worst mortgage and real estate crisis since the Great Depression. She has opted out of the proposed settlement of the 50 states Attorneys General with the Big Banks. That settlement, rumored to be about $25 billion, is really small potatoes and would have been a disastrous conclusion of their investigation. $25 billion would barely settle the monetary issues for California alone, not to mention the other 49 states. In addition, the banks are seeking to limit all their legal liability in return for the meager settlement. Despite the support of the Obama administration,hoping to end financial uncertainty with this settlement, Harris has decided that California will pursue a separate investigation and, if possible, make a separate settlement with the Big Banks.

Other States Are Reluctant To Sign

Harris follows in the footsteps of Eric Schneiderman of New York who has launched a wide-ranging investigation of the activities of the Big Banks which include Bank of America, Chase, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Ally Financial. Other states have also signaled their displeasure with the proposed deal which, if rumors are correct, allots a huge windfall to the Big Banks and a meager settlement to the states. Besides New York and California, Delaware Massachusetts, Kentucky and Minnesota, along with our hard-hit neighbor, Nevada have all signaled intense dislike of the proposed deal.

California, already one of the worst foreclosure states in the nation, recently made headlines again when foreclosures jumped 55% in one month as BofA, a prime supplier of SoCal mortgages during the “bubble years” via Countrywide, prepared to “dump” more seized homes on an already-bloated real estate market. Stockton, CA is especially at risk for there, it is estimated, 1 in every 7 homes could be foreclosed in the near future. Likewise, Nevada’s Las Vegas is suffering from an especially difficult and long-lasting crisis as estimates say that 75% of Las Vegas homes are underwater and could potentially be foreclosed.

Fraudulent Mortgage Practices

As indicated in a previous post, some of the most notorious fraudulent practices of the Big Banks, such as robo-signing, continue despite their public exposure. Since California is a non-judicial state, meaning foreclosures do not have to be approved by a judge or, indeed, by anyone, fraudulent foreclosures are harder to spot. Judicial states, in general, are the ones which have brought such practices to light. Given the huge number of foreclosures in California, though, it stands to reason that large numbers of these were not legitimate. Victims of such practices should have the help of the state’s top lawyer, the attorney general, to help them seek redress. Except in rare cases, it is prohibitively expensive for individuals to launch suits against Big Banks. That should not give the Big Banks carte blanche to commit wholesale fraud against California mortgagees.

What Does This Mean For Distressed Homeowners?

The most likely scenario now with both New York and California posing uncomfortable questions to the Big Banks while launching probing investigations into mortgage abuse is that the 50-state deal will collapse. The Big Banks will have to live with uncertainty. Will they be brought to the bar for their crimes? How much will it cost them? Will heads roll? And the Big Question for Big Banks: will profits suffer? will stock prices dive? Few have much sympathy left for the banks, so, aside from Timothy Geitner and Henry Paulson, few will really care.

big banks bailout cartoon

The outcome for the distressed and already-foreclosed-upon homeowner, though is a different story. With multiple ongoing investigations, quick relief in the form of monetary settlements is not in the cards. It is really, though, to everyone’s advantage to dig deeper into this morass of abuse. If the fraud is papered over, then, equally obviously, it will happen again. If the banks made trillions by fraud and nobody cares to demonstrate the modus operandi, then they will continue to behave in the same way. Showing the crime and punishing the criminal: That is the basis of our judicial system and it is a vital necessity in this case.

Some of the more flagrant practices are already known, publicized, and yet continuing. Big Banks could regulate themselves in order to regain public confidence. This is, apparently, what was expected of them after the 2008 bailout which seems to have been offered with no strings whatsoever. Did they regulate themselves? For those imprisoned in Siberian ice caves for the past 4 years, the Big Banks went right back to business as usual. Congress needs to regulate our messed-up financial sector. The sooner, the better if we are ever to get out of this nightmare.


Thursday, June 30, 2011

Electric Violin: Experiments With Sound | Electric Violin

Electric Violin: Experiments With Sound | Electric Violin


Music, like everything else, marches on. The violin is no different. In our never-ending quest for the new and different or at least improved, modern luthiers have developed the electric violin, the electronic violin and the electro-acoustic violin, all producing different sounds and combinations. Shockingly,  electric violins  have actually been around for some 90 years, having first been introduced in the 1920s, languished for years and then gradually gained popularity after Fender started producing them in the 1950s. 


So, what is an electric violin? Today’s electric violins are a far cry from the first electrified violins, still very common. It’s easy to electrify a regular violin simply by installing a pickup, either a piezoelectric bridge or String pickup. Depending on the tone desired and the feedback issues developing, most violinists who “go electric” will choose one or the other of these two. 

Today’s all-electric violins come in many versions, depending on the style of music and the sound desired. Rock electric violins, for instance, are frequently solid body violins, foregoing the traditional  hollow body of the classical acoustic violin. When electrified, depending on the method, the hollow body is highly susceptible to feedback. Interestingly, some musicians like the sharp sound this produces, but most opt, instead, for either a solid or semi-solid body. 

The material of the body of an electric violin, no longer dependent on the acoustically pliable soound of different varietes of wood, can be made of any of a wide variety of materials. Some of these materials include carbon fiber, glass, even kevlar. Always seeking new sounds, musicians also experiment not only with material but also with the shape of the electric violin. Cut-out shapes and outline shapes look strange, but the purpose is to cut down on the weight the violinist must carry around. In this way, electric violinists can jump all over the stage without consequent back or neck pain.                

Besides the material and the shape, electric violins increasingly now have five strings or even six or seven, creating sounds never before heard from a violin. Because the body of the electricviolin can be solid, it can accomodate the extra tension created by the extra strings without breaking or bending.  Other electric violin innovations include variations in the frets and in the strings.  

Electric violins have even become electronic with the inventionof the MIDI violin which can control systhesizers. Jean-Luc Ponty has played this kind of electric violin as has Boyd Tinsely, theviolinist for the Dave Matthews Band, though it still remains quite rare.  What has become commonplace, though, is the electric violin with a silent practice feature using a headphone jack and CD/auxiliary input.  Much like the silent practice feature for drummers, this is a boon for the intermediate violinist striving for greater control over the instrument, but also a great relief for family and friends.  

The violin has  been a well-loved instrument for hundreds of years. It continues to evolve and to keep up with the advances in music technology. With the enormus variety of  electric violins, musicians can now experiment with sound beyond the wildest dreams of yesteryear.

Most music stores carry several models of electric violins that you can choose from. If you are interested in them go try out some of them. You may have a particular manufacturer of musical instruments that you are loyal to. If that is the case then you should check to see if they make any types of electric violins. They are lovely instruments that will last a very long time.



Violin Bow: Carbon Fiber v. Pernambuco | Violin Bow

Violin Bow: Carbon Fiber v. Pernambuco | Violin Bow
Violinists, always searching for the best sound, delivered in the best way, have differing opinions when it comes to the violin bow. The main argument concerns the relative merits of the syntheticviolin bow, typically made of carbon fiber, as opposed to the wood bow, traditionally made of pernambuco wood. These two bows differ in sound, durability and weight.

Of late, carbon fiber bows have become increasingly common. This is particularly true among the young, up-and-coming class ofviolinists since most beginning and intermediate violinists use them. Because of their superior durability--carbon fiber bows are virtually indestructible--most young players use carbon fiber. Once accustomed to the heft, feel and sound of the synthetic version, now-advanced violinists usually prefer to stay with what they have always used.

Just as wood bows are not all the same, varying from cheap, easily-breakable to heirloom-quality, so, too, carbon fiber bows are not all the same, differing drastically in quality and sound. Top-of-the-line Berg Bows, for instance, create custom carbon fiber bows, employing an entire team of engineers and technicians to do so. A violin bow is nothing if not a highly technical enterprise. The carbon material allows for constant innovation, especially in angling and in materials which now include Kevlar and Spectra.

Another famous synthetic violin bow maker, Arcus, innovated by hollowing out the bow, making it some 20% lighter than traditional wooden bows. The lightness, in consequence, allows theviolinist to play more intensely without fatigue, making Beethoven or Shostakovich quartets more frequent in the repertoire. Pernambuco bows are selected based on lightness as well, and by adjusting the stiffness and mass can be “tuned” but cannot match the Arcus violin bow in weight. .

Among the first carbon fiber bows, the Spiccato, now no longer produced, has a mechanism inside allowing the curvature to be adjusted. Creating the sound by altering the pressure on the bow, the violinist thus has some five or six bows in one. Yehudi Menuhin liked the Spiccato bow.

Besides its durability, the very lightness of the carbon fiber bow allows for a tremendously powerful sound, an aggressive sound, while the more mellow wooden bow allows for a wider range of tonal colors. The players using a carbon fiber bow must supply the power themselves, creating more articulated and fast-paced pieces. The players using the more fragile wooden bows have a more sensitive, delicate touch and can produce sound with far more depth and variety.

In sum, it seems fair to say that the carbon fiber violin bow is best for big sound and precise articulation. Carbon fibre bows are durable and very light. Pernambuco bows are beloved by virtuosos and master violinists for their delicate response and mellow sound. Musicians putting their bows and instruments to hard use as in in rock or jazz almost all choose carbon fiber while classical violinists remain divided between those who love violin bows made of carbon fiber and those who prefer the traditional wood.

Choosing Violin Strings | Violin Strings

Choosing Violin Strings | Violin Strings

Violin strings, like every thing else these days, it seems, come in a bewildering variety of materials and thicknesses. Depending upon the iinstrument, the kind of music played and the violinist’s particular touch, the choice of strings will be different. In general, violin strings are made of traditional gut, steel or sythetic materials.

The most popular today are the synthetic core strings, first introduced in the 1970s when Thomasiki-Infield began producing the revolutionary Dominants made of nylon perlon. Many more manufacturers have since entered the field and synthetic strings are now made of a wide variety of materials, but still today Dominants remain the most popular and sought-after strings.

Qualities of Types of Strings

Gut is, of course, the traditional material for violin strings, though not, as legend has it, cat gut, but, rather, sheep gut. Sheep gut strings held sway for so long primarily because of their rich, warm tone and variety of overtones. Sheep gut strings take a bit longer to stretch to the perfect place, and, once stretched tend to be very stable, though, like many natural fibers, they do react ot changing weather conditions. Today, gut is partially a misnomer as gut strings are wrapped with other materials, such as copper wire, to give the string added weight. Most classical musicians prefer gut strings, particularly those who specialize in Baroque or medieval music.

Steel core strings are more to the liking of pop, rock or jazz musicians who favor their durabillity as well as their bright, clear sound. Being made of steel, these strings are very durable and so are also favored by those beginning the study of the violin who tend to be rather rough on their instruments.

Then, the synthetic core violin strings have become extremely popular since they are durable, have good overtones and are quite stable. In sum, they combine for many violinists the qualities of both the steel and the gut strings.

Beyond the material of the violin strings, the violinist must consider the thickness of the string which come in stiff, medium and soft. Each manufacturer varies somewhat in its product and what that product can do. For a good discussion, violinist.com offers a very comprehensive review on its blog.

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Friday, June 3, 2011

Housing Prices: The Infamous Double Dip Is Here! « Diane’s Blog

Housing Prices: The Infamous Double Dip Is Here!

We’ve been expecting it for a year and hoping we were wrong, but the double dip is here as home prices are plunging again. It seems that last year’s uptick was a result of the Congressional tax credits for home buyers. That pumped some life into the otherwise moribund housing sector, but the air all leaked out this year.
How bad is it? Nationwide, home prices are down 5.1% from last year to levels not seen since 2002. Home prices have now lost an average of 32.7% since the highs reached in 2006. Almost 30% of homes with a mortgage are now underwater and many of the rest are hanging on by their fingernails. Here’s a graph from CNN Money that shows the decline from 2006, the uptick last year and the plunge again this year.
It’s starting to look like Niagara Falls, and it appears poised to get worse. What is actually causing this depressing negativity in real estate? Why can’t the nation and our Golden State seem to pick ourselves up and start all over again?

Causes of the Continuing Decline In Housing

Many factors are contributing to this stubborn stalemate–high unemployment, lack of consumer confidence and spending, outsourcing of jobs–but the major reason is the same as at the beginning of the recession–the big banks.
Most of us now understand that the push for deregulation of the banking industry which culminated in the lifting of the 1930s-era Glass-Steigal Act functioned like a giant gold rush for the so-called financial services industry or, better yet, a red flag to a bull. The Wall St boys almost literally went crazy dreaming up creative ways to make money [for themselves] without much consideration for the consequences.
In those heady days, intoxicated with the freedom from almost all regulation, the banks shoveled out loans. Almost anyone could get a loan. Bad credit scores, no down payment, low or no income–none of it mattered. The bankers had a loan for everyone and raked in the money doing refi after refi as everyone cashed out their new-found equity as the housing  bubble grew.
When it burst, the first to explode were the sub-prime loans. That was back in 2007 and 2008. Those were the really terrible loans with horrendous interest rates given to completely unqualified buyers. That was the first wave of foreclosures and short sales.
Since then we have been dealing with the ARM loans, the adjustable rate loans that so many qualified buyers anxious to get into the hot housing market  were advised by their lenders to undertake “to get into the property.”  At the time lenders pitched these as  “starter loans”  because down the road, when they adjusted, buyers were told, with the rise in equity, you could easily refi when the rates went up.
Now we know better of course. Those ARM loans, so lucrative for lenders five years ago,  are now time bombs exploding all over the place. Here’s another graph showing how all these  3- and 5-year ARMs are now adjusting. Owners can’t refi now due to plunging real estate values. On the other hand, they can’t pay $1500 more a month either. Naturally, the banks aren’t budging–no help for you, partner.
Thanks to Sean Chapman for the graph.
This year, as we can plainly see from the graph, we can expect a huge number of resets for these adjustable mortgages. Since the properties are usually now either underwater or nearly underwater, even those who could pay will quickly determine that it is not in their financial interest to do so. The result will be an even deeper crisis for the housing market as home values plummet ever downwards.
 
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